[M21-DEMO] BTC reaches $1,000,000 this cycle

Falsification demo — a moonshot forecast with a "what would change my mind?" condition.

Prediction

[M21-DEMO] BTC reaches $1,000,000 this cycle

55.00% · resolves by 2026-11-26

Criteria: Demo criterion — moonshot BTC price target.

How this forecast was formed ↗

Coupled questions — if this resolves, these shift

No coupled questions yet. When this question is linked to others, resolving it projects a directional shift onto them here.

A directional projection along the coupling graph — an explanatory overlay, not a calibration input.

What would change your mind?

  • I would revise this down while BTC is still trading below $1,000,000.

    ⚠ A sensor reading now contradicts this forecast — the forecaster should consider updating (since 2026-05-30).
net 0

Stakes against (0)

No counter-claims filed yet.

Observations (0)

Log in to add an observation.

No observations yet — add the first.