Musk's performative climate commitments and internal chaos will erode investor trust, driving Tesla's stock price down.
Prediction
Musk's performative climate commitments and internal chaos will erode investor trust, driving Tesla's stock price down.
Criteria: Auto-resolved against the elon musk price sensor: resolves TRUE if the price is below $130.77 on/after the resolution date.
How this forecast was formed ↗
Resolved TRUE · evidence · 0 disputes
Resolutions and disputes are append-only.
Beat the base rate — called 70% on a 29% base rate · skill +0.420 (beta)
Coupled questions — if this resolves, these shift
No coupled questions yet. When this question is linked to others, resolving it projects a directional shift onto them here.
A directional projection along the coupling graph — an explanatory overlay, not a calibration input.
What would change your mind?
No falsification conditions yet.
Stakes against (0)
No counter-claims filed yet.
Observations (0)
Log in to add an observation.
No observations yet — add the first.