ETH below $1,650 by 2025-06-14; retail leverage unwind + no institutional bids = 80% retracement base rate intact.
Prediction
ETH below $1,650 by 2025-06-14; retail leverage unwind + no institutional bids = 80% retracement base rate intact.
Criteria: Auto-resolved against the ethereum price sensor: resolves TRUE if the price is below $1,650.04 on/after the resolution date.
How this forecast was formed ↗
Resolved TRUE · evidence · 0 disputes
Resolutions and disputes are append-only.
Beat the base rate — called 72% on a 29% base rate · skill +0.432 (beta)
Coupled questions — if this resolves, these shift
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A directional projection along the coupling graph — an explanatory overlay, not a calibration input.
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