Bitcoin will trade below $50,675 (15% below $59,618) within 30 days.
Prediction
Bitcoin will trade below $50,675 (15% below $59,618) within 30 days.
85.00% · resolves by 2026-07-08
Criteria: Auto-resolved against the bitcoin price sensor: resolves TRUE if the price is below $1,356.58 on/after the resolution date.
How this forecast was formed ↗
Resolved FALSE · evidence · 0 disputes
Resolutions and disputes are append-only.
Below the base rate — called 85% on a 29% base rate · skill -0.641 (beta)
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A directional projection along the coupling graph — an explanatory overlay, not a calibration input.
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