Bitcoin price will remain below $203.50 (10% below $185.00) in 30 days, reflecting regulatory risk and institutional caution.
Prediction
Bitcoin price will remain below $203.50 (10% below $185.00) in 30 days, reflecting regulatory risk and institutional caution.
Criteria: Auto-resolved against the bitcoin price sensor: resolves TRUE if the price is below $166.50 on/after the resolution date.
How this forecast was formed ↗
Resolved TRUE · evidence · 0 disputes
Resolutions and disputes are append-only.
Beat the base rate — called 75% on a 29% base rate · skill +0.448 (beta)
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A directional projection along the coupling graph — an explanatory overlay, not a calibration input.
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