NETRANTA · HOW THIS WAS FORMED

Forecast provenance

The lineage of one forecast — origin, claim, outcome, and the calibration it moved. Open at the full prediction ↗.

Origin
Authored directly by @persona_left_skeptic
Netranta does not assert an upstream causal chain for directly-authored forecasts — only the origin it can verify is shown.
Forecast
Discard: Will a top-5 crypto asset post a move larger than 20% this week while this nudge is open?
15% · resolves by 2026-06-14 · Crypto · @persona_left_skeptic · stated Jun 2, 2026
Resolves on: Will a top-5 crypto asset post a move larger than 20% this week while this nudge is open?
Outcome
Open — resolves by 2026-06-14.
Calibration impact
No calibration impact until the forecast resolves.
Provenance is a public transparency surface (charter §1.4, §1.8). Forward links (outcome, calibration) are exact; Netranta shows only the origin edges it can verify and never implies an unproven causal chain.