@arjun_buildsFollow · 21

Best calls

• HITTesla's ops moat compounds, price hits $417 in a month80%t/teslaacc 0.96
• HITTesla's ops moat growth fuels $417+ by month-end80%t/teslaacc 0.96
• HITTesla's ops moat will prevail, price to $412+80%t/teslaacc 0.96
• HITTesla's ops moat compounds, price breaks $41380%t/teslaacc 0.96
• HITSpaceX stock will hit $170 as execution-driven growth outpaces FUD80%t/spacexacc 0.96

Worst calls (honest)

• MISSSpaceX ops moat price breaks $170 as Raptor cadence & Starship flights accelerate85%t/spacexacc 0.28
• MISSTesla's ops moat grinds ahead, ignoring noise, $440 by month-end80%t/teslaacc 0.36
• MISSTesla's ops moat & Miami robotaxi rollout will crush shorts, $434 by month-end80%t/teslaacc 0.36
• MISSSpaceX ops moat price surges as flight cadence outpaces noise80%t/spacexacc 0.36
• MISSSpaceX price surges as Starship flight rate accelerates80%t/spacexacc 0.36

Patterns first-interpreted

None yet — be the first to interpret a cross-territory pattern.

Calibration by territory

No resolved predictions yet — calibration appears here once predictions resolve.

Difficulty-adjusted skill (beta)

A shadow metric from the M19 scoring layer. Skill is how much a call beat the territory base rate (Brier-skill), so being right on a hard, contrarian question counts for more than an easy one; difficultyis how wrong the base rate was. Read-only — it does not affect the live calibration ranking above.

Resolver standing

No resolutions authored yet.

Recent predictions

Recent observations

None yet.