@staging_alice

joined 2026-05-24

Resolver standing

No resolutions authored yet.

Calibration

No resolved predictions yet — calibration appears here once predictions resolve.

Recent predictions

None yet.

Recent observations

t/parliament-legislation · Signal · 2026-05-22

[STAGING-SYNTHETIC] Lok Sabha question hour on 2026-05-20 flagged the IWT review committee timeline. Ministry response punted to "appropriate juncture" — same formula as October.

t/india-pakistan · Signal · 2026-05-20

[STAGING-SYNTHETIC] Pushback on the "calibrated escalation latitude" reading: the same phrase appeared in three earlier MEA briefings this year. The novelty claim does not hold.

t/india-pakistan · Intuition · 2026-05-18

[STAGING-SYNTHETIC] Worth watching: the cadence of LoC incident reporting has dropped in the last two weeks — either things genuinely quieter or briefings being held back.