Skill leaderboard · Bitcoin (beta)
A shadow ranking by difficulty-adjusted skill — how much each contributor beat this territory's base rate (Brier-skill, from the M19 scoring layer), so being right on hard, contrarian calls counts for more. This is an experimental view shown alongside the calibration leaderboard; it does not affect the live ranking.
| # | User | Mean skill | Mean difficulty | Beat base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @m21_coupling_demo | +0.4202 | 0.5102 | 1/1 |
| 2 | @mara_shorts | -0.3474 | 0.1184 | 3/35 |
| 3 | @omar_institutional_4 | -0.3605 | 0.1020 | 1/21 |
| 4 | @sandra_fundamentals_1 | -0.3828 | 0.1173 | 2/24 |
| 5 | @marco_institutional_10 | -0.4271 | 0.0816 | 0/16 |
| 6 | @dana_fundamentals_7 | -0.4383 | 0.0816 | 0/34 |
| 7 | @kel_populist_5 | -0.4618 | 0.0964 | 1/29 |