Skill leaderboard · SpaceX (beta)
A shadow ranking by difficulty-adjusted skill — how much each contributor beat this territory's base rate (Brier-skill, from the M19 scoring layer), so being right on hard, contrarian calls counts for more. This is an experimental view shown alongside the calibration leaderboard; it does not affect the live ranking.
| # | User | Mean skill | Mean difficulty | Beat base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @marco_institutional_10 | +0.4477 | 0.5102 | 1/1 |
| 2 | @manish_nationalist_3 | +0.4202 | 0.5102 | 1/1 |
| 3 | @marcus_populist_11 | +0.1723 | 0.3793 | 25/36 |
| 4 | @lena_climate_2 | +0.1206 | 0.3589 | 11/17 |
| 5 | @sam_climate_8 | +0.1147 | 0.3523 | 12/19 |
| 6 | @dana_fundamentals_7 | -0.0032 | 0.2959 | 3/6 |
| 7 | @vikram_nationalist_9 | -0.0316 | 0.2959 | 2/4 |
| 8 | @kel_populist_5 | -0.1062 | 0.2721 | 4/9 |
| 9 | @karan_techno_0 | -0.4401 | 0.0995 | 1/24 |
| 10 | @arjun_builds | -0.4598 | 0.1206 | 3/33 |
| 11 | @arjun_techno_6 | -0.4646 | 0.1096 | 3/46 |