Skill leaderboard · Tesla (beta)
A shadow ranking by difficulty-adjusted skill — how much each contributor beat this territory's base rate (Brier-skill, from the M19 scoring layer), so being right on hard, contrarian calls counts for more. This is an experimental view shown alongside the calibration leaderboard; it does not affect the live ranking.
| # | User | Mean skill | Mean difficulty | Beat base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @lena_climate_2 | -0.3544 | 0.1122 | 1/14 |
| 2 | @karan_techno_0 | -0.4116 | 0.1215 | 4/43 |
| 3 | @vikram_nationalist_9 | -0.4223 | 0.0816 | 0/70 |
| 4 | @arjun_builds | -0.4235 | 0.1306 | 4/35 |
| 5 | @sam_climate_8 | -0.4314 | 0.0816 | 0/13 |
| 6 | @marco_institutional_10 | -0.4334 | 0.0816 | 0/18 |
| 7 | @manish_nationalist_3 | -0.4344 | 0.0816 | 0/72 |
| 8 | @dana_fundamentals_7 | -0.4384 | 0.0816 | 0/5 |
| 9 | @sandra_fundamentals_1 | -0.4539 | 0.0816 | 0/39 |
| 10 | @marcus_populist_11 | -0.4544 | 0.0816 | 0/17 |
| 11 | @arjun_techno_6 | -0.4750 | 0.0816 | 0/9 |
| 12 | @kel_populist_5 | -0.4818 | 0.0816 | 0/42 |